Dante Rosario
TE, Oregon · 2007 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #155 (CAR)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 122 of ~128 possible regular-season games from 2007 through 2014 (~95%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #187 (#10 at his position); he went #155, 32 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Oregon: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.78 40-yard dash at 244 lbs: faster than 33% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 122 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 9 |
| Rushing | 1 att, -2 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 116 rec, 1,235 yds, 8 TD |
| Defense | 27 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2007 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2007 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 244 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.78 s |
| Bench press | 20 reps |
| Vertical | 36" |
| Broad jump | 115" |
| 3-cone | 6.96 s |
| Shuttle | 4.47 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #187 overall (#10 TE) |
Picked around him 2007 redraft
| 152 | Antonio Johnson | redraft #68 |
| 153 | Kevin Boss | redraft #80 |
| 154 | Clifton Ryan | redraft #97 |
| 156 | Cameron Stephenson | redraft #235 |
| 157 | David Clowney | redraft #163 |
| 158 | Johnny Baldwin | redraft #220 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.