Daniel Bellinger
TE, San Diego St. · 2022 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #112 (NYG)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
The 2022 class is only 4 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 61 of ~68 possible regular-season games from 2022 through 2025 (~90%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #98 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#112).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
San Diego St.: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.63 40-yard dash at 253 lbs: faster than 76% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 68 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 9 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1.4 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 10.4 |
| Rushing | 1 att, 2 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 93 rec, 964 yds, 4 TD |
| Defense | 2 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2022 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2022 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 253 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.63 s |
| Bench press | 22 reps |
| Vertical | 34.5" |
| Broad jump | 125" |
| 3-cone | 7.05 s |
| Shuttle | 4.47 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.63" / 9.88" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #98 overall (#5 TE) |
Picked around him 2022 redraft
| 109 | Coby Bryant | redraft #96 |
| 110 | Daniel Faalele | redraft #69 |
| 111 | Max Mitchell | redraft #138 |
| 113 | Percy Butler | redraft #136 |
| 114 | Dane Belton | redraft #95 |
| 115 | Damarri Mathis | redraft #139 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.