Chris Simms
QB, Texas · 2003 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #97 (TAM)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 23 of ~112 possible regular-season games from 2003 through 2009 (~21%). Last NFL season: 2009.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Texas: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.84 40-yard dash at 220 lbs: faster than 38% of QBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 23 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 8 |
| Passing | 297/511, 3,117 yds, 12 TD, 18 INT |
| Rushing | 33 att, 48 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 1 rec, -3 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2009 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 220 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.84 s |
| Vertical | 31" |
| Broad jump | 103" |
| 3-cone | 7.38 s |
| Shuttle | 4.21 s |
| Age at draft | 23 |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 94 | Angelo Crowell | redraft #90 |
| 95 | Billy McMullen | redraft #154 |
| 96 | Justin Fargas | redraft #86 |
| 98 | Dennis Weathersby | redraft #224 |
| 99 | Artose Pinner | redraft #133 |
| 100 | Todd Johnson | redraft #110 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.