Chris Moore
WR, Cincinnati · 2016 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #107 (BAL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #46 overall (#7 at his position), but he lasted until pick #107: teams let him slide 61 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Cincinnati: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.53 40-yard dash at 206 lbs: faster than 25% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 125 of ~165 possible regular-season games from 2016 through 2025 (~76%). Plus 4 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 129 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 14 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.8 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 14.8 |
| Rushing | 17 att, 78 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 152 rec, 1,980 yds, 10 TD |
| Defense | 19 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 206 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.53 s |
| Bench press | 10 reps |
| Vertical | 37" |
| Broad jump | 130" |
| 3-cone | 6.76 s |
| Shuttle | 4.2 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.63" / 9.38" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #46 overall (#7 WR) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 104 | Tavon Young | redraft #101 |
| 105 | Parker Ehinger | redraft #170 |
| 106 | Eric Murray | redraft #72 |
| 108 | Ryan Smith | redraft #132 |
| 109 | B.J. Goodson | redraft #85 |
| 110 | Tyler Higbee | redraft #54 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.