Chris Givens
WR, Wake Forest · 2012 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #96 (STL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 60 of ~64 possible regular-season games from 2012 through 2015 (~94%). Last NFL season: 2015.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #82 (#11 at his position), close to where he went (#96).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Wake Forest: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.35 40-yard dash at 198 lbs: faster than 89% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 60 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 2 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 12 |
| Rushing | 11 att, 42 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 107 rec, 1,779 yds, 5 TD |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 198 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.35 s |
| Bench press | 19 reps |
| Vertical | 33.5" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 6.97 s |
| Shuttle | 4.23 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.2" / 8.2" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #82 overall (#11 WR) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 93 | Brandon Thompson | redraft #134 |
| 94 | Jayron Hosley | redraft #132 |
| 95 | Tony Bergstrom | redraft #107 |
| 97 | Lamar Miller | redraft #42 |
| 98 | Gino Gradkowski | redraft #111 |
| 99 | Ben Jones | redraft #21 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.