Chig Okonkwo
TE, Maryland · 2022 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #143 (TEN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
The 2022 class is only 4 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 68 of ~68 possible regular-season games from 2022 through 2025 (~100%). Plus 4 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #164 (#9 at his position), close to where he went (#143). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Maryland: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.52 40-yard dash at 238 lbs: faster than 94% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 72 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 2 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 16 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1.2 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 17.2 |
| Rushing | 6 att, 25 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 209 rec, 2,167 yds, 8 TD |
| Defense | 8 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2022 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2022 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 238 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.52 s |
| Vertical | 35.5" |
| Arm / hand | 32" / 9.75" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #164 overall (#9 TE) |
Picked around him 2022 redraft
| 140 | Zach Bako-Bewele | redraft #31 |
| 141 | Damarion Williams | redraft #223 |
| 142 | Cobie Durant | redraft #76 |
| 144 | Sam Howell | redraft #105 |
| 145 | Darian Kinnard | redraft #188 |
| 146 | Micah McFadden | redraft #67 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.