Charlie Kolar
TE, Iowa St. · 2022 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #128 (BAL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
The 2022 class is only 4 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #113 (#7 at his position), close to where he went (#128).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Iowa St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Combine
Invited to the Combine but no 40 time on record (skipped or injured).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (4,704 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 47 of ~68 possible regular-season games from 2022 through 2025 (~69%). Plus 4 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 51 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 4 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1.2 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 5.2 |
| Rushing | 1 att, 2 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 39 rec, 487 yds, 4 TD |
| Defense | 6 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2022 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2022 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Combine Invited to the Combine | 50.6% n=4,704 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 252 lbs |
| Arm / hand | 34.25" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #113 overall (#7 TE) |
Picked around him 2022 redraft
| 125 | Erik Ezukanma | redraft #250 |
| 126 | Neil Farrell | redraft #208 |
| 127 | Pierre Strong | redraft #162 |
| 129 | Jake Ferguson | redraft #56 |
| 130 | Jordan Stout | redraft #129 |
| 131 | Hassan Haskins | redraft #204 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.