Charlie Frye
QB, Akron · 2005 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #67 (CLE)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 26 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2005 through 2009 (~33%). Last NFL season: 2009.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #55 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#67).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Akron: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.79 40-yard dash at 225 lbs: faster than 53% of QBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 26 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 8 |
| Passing | 419/677, 4,154 yds, 17 TD, 29 INT |
| Rushing | 72 att, 347 yds, 4 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2009 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 225 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.79 s |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 113" |
| 3-cone | 6.94 s |
| Shuttle | 4.08 s |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #55 overall (#4 QB) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 64 | Adam Terry | redraft #121 |
| 65 | Frank Gore | redraft #5 |
| 66 | O.J. Atogwe | redraft #55 |
| 68 | Courtney Roby | redraft #152 |
| 69 | Andrew Walter | redraft #183 |
| 70 | Channing Crowder | redraft #59 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.