Brian Robison
DE, Texas · 2007 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #102 (MIN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 173 of ~176 possible regular-season games from 2007 through 2017 (~98%). Last NFL season: 2017.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #98 (#13 at his position), close to where he went (#102). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Texas: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.67 40-yard dash at 259 lbs: faster than 88% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DE (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 173 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 46 |
| Defense | 207 tackles, 60 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2017 |
The 2007 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2007 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 259 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.67 s |
| Bench press | 27 reps |
| Vertical | 40.5" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| 3-cone | 6.89 s |
| Shuttle | 4.26 s |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #98 overall (#13 DE) |
Picked around him 2007 redraft
| 99 | Johnnie Lee Higgins | redraft #121 |
| 100 | Michael Bush | redraft #58 |
| 101 | Adam Podlesh | redraft #126 |
| 103 | Isaiah Stanback | redraft #202 |
| 104 | Jay Moore | redraft #230 |
| 105 | A.J. Davis | redraft #231 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.