Brandon Williams
DE, Texas Tech · 2009 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #120 (DAL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 6 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2009 through 2010 (~19%). Last NFL season: 2010.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #83 overall (#11 at his position), but he lasted until pick #120: teams let him slide 37 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Texas Tech: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.78 40-yard dash at 261 lbs: faster than 72% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DE (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 6 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Defense | 4 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2010 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 261 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.78 s |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 112" |
| 3-cone | 7.23 s |
| Shuttle | 4.49 s |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #83 overall (#11 DE) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 117 | Kyle Moore | redraft #119 |
| 118 | Stanley Arnoux | redraft #188 |
| 119 | D.J. Moore | redraft #131 |
| 121 | Shawn Nelson | redraft #183 |
| 122 | Anthony Hill | redraft #209 |
| 123 | Rich Ohrnberger | redraft #122 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.