Bradlee Van Pelt
QB, Colorado St. · 2004 NFL Draft, Round 7, pick #250 (DEN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 3 of ~32 possible regular-season games from 2004 through 2005 (~9%). Last NFL season: 2005.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #242 (#14 at his position), close to where he went (#250).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Colorado St.: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.98 40-yard dash at 231 lbs: faster than 11% of QBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 3 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Passing | 2/8, 7 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 11 att, 48 yds, 1 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2005 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 231 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.98 s |
| Vertical | 33.5" |
| Broad jump | 115" |
| 3-cone | 6.89 s |
| Shuttle | 4.11 s |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #242 overall (#14 QB) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 247 | Brandon Miree | redraft #203 |
| 248 | B.J. Symons | redraft #251 |
| 249 | Bobby McCray | redraft #72 |
| 251 | Scott Wells | redraft #14 |
| 252 | Lenny Williams | redraft #252 |
| 253 | Isaac Hilton | redraft #253 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.