Bobby Massie
T, Mississippi · 2012 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #112 (ARI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, position. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #39 overall (#5 at his position), but he lasted until pick #112: teams let him slide 73 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
T (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Mississippi: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.18 40-yard dash at 316 lbs: faster than 58% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 131 of ~161 possible regular-season games from 2012 through 2021 (~81%). Last NFL season: 2021.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 131 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 9 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 45 |
| Receiving | 1 rec, 4 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2021 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 316 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.18 s |
| Bench press | 22 reps |
| Vertical | 27.5" |
| Broad jump | 103" |
| 3-cone | 7.7 s |
| Shuttle | 4.95 s |
| Arm / hand | 35" / 9" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #39 overall (#5 T) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 109 | Alameda Ta'amu | redraft #173 |
| 110 | Ladarius Green | redraft #112 |
| 111 | Evan Rodriguez | redraft #205 |
| 113 | Kyle Wilber | redraft #101 |
| 114 | Jaye Howard | redraft #92 |
| 115 | Coty Sensabaugh | redraft #82 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.