Arrelious Benn
WR, Illinois · 2010 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #39 (TAM)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 61 of ~128 possible regular-season games from 2010 through 2017 (~48%). Last NFL season: 2017.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #39 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#39).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Illinois: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.57 40-yard dash at 219 lbs: faster than 14% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 61 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 2 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 8 |
| Rushing | 15 att, 44 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 65 rec, 990 yds, 6 TD |
| Defense | 24 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2017 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 219 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.57 s |
| Bench press | 20 reps |
| Vertical | 37" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| Arm / hand | 32.2" / 9.3" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #39 overall (#3 WR) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 36 | Dexter McCluster | redraft #78 |
| 37 | Nate Allen | redraft #59 |
| 38 | T.J. Ward | redraft #40 |
| 40 | Koa Misi | redraft #55 |
| 41 | Torell Troup | redraft #173 |
| 42 | Rob Gronkowski | redraft #7 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.