Anthony Castonzo
T, Boston Col. · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #22 (IND)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
T (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 144 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2020 (~90%). Last NFL season: 2020.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #12 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#22).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Boston Col.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.21 40-yard dash at 311 lbs: faster than 51% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 144 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 10 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 58 |
| Receiving | 1 rec, 1 yds, 1 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2020 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 311 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.21 s |
| Bench press | 28 reps |
| Vertical | 29.5" |
| Broad jump | 105" |
| 3-cone | 7.25 s |
| Shuttle | 4.4 s |
| Arm / hand | 34.4" / 10.5" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #12 overall (#2 T) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 19 | Prince Amukamara | redraft #42 |
| 20 | Adrian Clayborn | redraft #60 |
| 21 | Phil Taylor | redraft #76 |
| 23 | Danny Watkins | redraft #113 |
| 24 | Cameron Jordan | redraft #4 |
| 25 | James Carpenter | redraft #29 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.