Adonai Mitchell
WR, Texas · 2024 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #52 (IND)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
The 2024 class is only 2 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 32 of ~34 possible regular-season games from 2024 through 2025 (~94%). Plus 3 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #29 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#52).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Texas: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.34 40-yard dash at 205 lbs: faster than 91% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 35 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 8 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.9 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 8.9 |
| Passing | 1/1, 24 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 5 att, 2 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 65 rec, 888 yds, 2 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2024 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2024 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 205 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.34 s |
| Vertical | 39.5" |
| Broad jump | 136" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #29 overall (#6 WR) |
Picked around him 2024 redraft
| 49 | Kris Jenkins | redraft #94 |
| 50 | Mike Sainristil | redraft #49 |
| 51 | Zach Frazier | redraft #19 |
| 53 | Ben Sinnott | redraft #157 |
| 54 | Michael Hall | redraft #129 |
| 55 | Patrick Paul | redraft #37 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.