Žarko Čabarkapa
SF · 2003 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #17 (PHO)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #35 (#11 at his position); he went #17, 18 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.1 years old on draft night (born 1981-05-21).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 150 games over 3 NBA seasons (~61% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 150 |
| Minutes / game | 10.3 |
| Points / game | 4.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.1 |
| Assists / game | 0.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 1.1 |
| VORP | -0.7 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -3.9 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 225 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.1 |
| Born | 1981-05-21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #35 overall (#11 SF) |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 14 | Luke Ridnour | redraft #15 |
| 15 | Reece Gaines | redraft #44 |
| 16 | Troy Bell | redraft #43 |
| 18 | David West | redraft #5 |
| 19 | Sasha Pavlović | redraft #33 |
| 20 | Dahntay Jones | redraft #30 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.