Terance Mann
SF, Florida State · 2019 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #48 (LAC)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 475 games over 7 NBA seasons (~83% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #68 (#17 at his position); he went #48, 20 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.7 years old on draft night (born 1996-10-18).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Florida State.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 7 |
| Games | 475 |
| Minutes / game | 22.4 |
| Points / game | 8.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.5 |
| Assists / game | 2.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 23.3 |
| VORP | 2.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.2 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2019 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2019 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 205 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.7 |
| Born | 1996-10-18 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #68 overall (#17 SF) |
Picked around him 2019 redraft
| 45 | Isaiah Roby | redraft #32 |
| 46 | Talen Horton-Tucker | redraft #27 |
| 47 | Ignas Brazdeikis | redraft #42 |
| 49 | Quinndary Weatherspoon | redraft #47 |
| 50 | Jarrell Brantley | redraft #41 |
| 51 | Tremont Waters | redraft #49 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.