Sergei Karaulov
C · 2004 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #57 (SAS)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Never played an NBA game.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #61 (#7 at his position), close to where he went (#57).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.2 years old on draft night (born 1984-04-15).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 0 |
| Games | 0 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 1" |
| Age on draft night | 20.2 |
| Born | 1984-04-15 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #61 overall (#7 C) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 54 | Rickey Paulding | redraft #55 |
| 55 | Luis Flores | redraft #45 |
| 56 | Marcus Douthit | redraft #56 |
| 58 | Blake Stepp | redraft #58 |
| 59 | Rashad Wright | redraft #59 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.