Sekou Doumbouya
PF · 2019 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #15 (DET)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 96 games over 3 NBA seasons (~39% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #8 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#15).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
18.5 years old on draft night (born 2000-12-23).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 96 |
| Minutes / game | 17.1 |
| Points / game | 5.6 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.8 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.4 |
| VORP | -1.8 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -6.5 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2019 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2019 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 210 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 18.5 |
| Born | 2000-12-23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #8 overall (#3 PF) |
Picked around him 2019 redraft
| 12 | P.J. Washington | redraft #16 |
| 13 | Tyler Herro | redraft #7 |
| 14 | Romeo Langford | redraft #37 |
| 16 | Chuma Okeke | redraft #26 |
| 17 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | redraft #14 |
| 18 | Goga Bitadze | redraft #12 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.