Ryan Hollins
C, UCLA · 2006 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #50 (CHA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #51 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#50). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.7 years old on draft night (born 1984-10-10).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at UCLA.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 518 games over 10 NBA seasons (~63% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 10 |
| Games | 518 |
| Minutes / game | 11.8 |
| Points / game | 3.7 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.2 |
| Assists / game | 0.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 10.4 |
| VORP | -3.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -4.1 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 225 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.7 |
| Born | Pasedena, CA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #51 overall (#6 C) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 47 | Paul Millsap | redraft #3 |
| 48 | Vladimir Veremeenko | redraft #55 |
| 49 | Leon Powe | redraft #18 |
| 51 | Cheikh Samb | redraft #43 |
| 52 | Guillermo Díaz | redraft #52 |
| 53 | Yotam Halperin | redraft #56 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.