Omri Casspi
SF · 2009 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #23 (SAC)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #19 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#23).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.0 years old on draft night (born 1988-06-22).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Holon, Israel.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 588 games over 10 NBA seasons (~72% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 10 |
| Games | 588 |
| Minutes / game | 20.3 |
| Points / game | 7.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 19.6 |
| VORP | 3.5 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.8 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 211 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.0 |
| Born | Holon, Israel |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #19 overall (#2 SF) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 20 | Eric Maynor | redraft #39 |
| 21 | Darren Collison | redraft #8 |
| 22 | Víctor Claver | redraft #43 |
| 24 | Byron Mullens | redraft #42 |
| 25 | Rodrigue Beaubois | redraft #30 |
| 26 | Taj Gibson | redraft #9 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.