Oleksiy Pecherov
PF · 2006 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #18 (WAS)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Ukraine.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 111 games over 3 NBA seasons (~45% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #22 (#7 at his position), close to where he went (#18).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.2 years old on draft night (born 1985-04-30).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 111 |
| Minutes / game | 9.4 |
| Points / game | 3.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.4 |
| Assists / game | 0.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.5 |
| VORP | -0.7 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -4.8 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 222 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.2 |
| Born | Ukraine |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #22 overall (#7 PF) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 15 | Cedric Simmons | redraft #41 |
| 16 | Rodney Carney | redraft #24 |
| 17 | Shawne Williams | redraft #25 |
| 19 | Quincy Douby | redraft #50 |
| 20 | Renaldo Balkman | redraft #20 |
| 21 | Rajon Rondo | redraft #4 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.