Myles Turner

PF, Texas · 2015 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #11 (IND)

Drafted#11IND · 2015
Redraft rank#4of 60 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #11~#202000–2021 median
VerdictSteal · +16spots vs. typical

Why he was overlooked Patterns

Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #11 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#11). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Age

    19.3 years old on draft night (born 1996-03-24).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Path to the draft

    Played college basketball at Texas.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Length

    Wingspan 7' 4" at 6' 11" tall (+5.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    PF (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 716 games over 12 NBA seasons (~73% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.

Career numbers

Seasons12
Games716
Minutes / game28.6
Points / game13.8
Rebounds / game6.6
Assists / game1.3
Win Shares (career)51.6
VORP13.3
Box Plus/Minus0.6

The 2015 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

111515303045456060Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Karl-Anthony Towns: pick 1 → redraft 1D'Angelo Russell: pick 2 → redraft 9Jahlil Okafor: pick 3 → redraft 27Kristaps Porziņģis: pick 4 → redraft 3Mario Hezonja: pick 5 → redraft 31Willie Cauley-Stein: pick 6 → redraft 17Emmanuel Mudiay: pick 7 → redraft 41Stanley Johnson: pick 8 → redraft 28Frank Kaminsky: pick 9 → redraft 20Justise Winslow: pick 10 → redraft 26Trey Lyles: pick 12 → redraft 19Devin Booker: pick 13 → redraft 2Cameron Payne: pick 14 → redraft 22Kelly Oubre Jr.: pick 15 → redraft 18Terry Rozier: pick 16 → redraft 11Rashad Vaughn: pick 17 → redraft 43Sam Dekker: pick 18 → redraft 29Jerian Grant: pick 19 → redraft 25Delon Wright: pick 20 → redraft 10Justin Anderson: pick 21 → redraft 30Bobby Portis: pick 22 → redraft 13Rondae Hollis-Jefferson: pick 23 → redraft 23Tyus Jones: pick 24 → redraft 8Jarell Martin: pick 25 → redraft 32Nikola Milutinov: pick 26 → redraft 45Larry Nance Jr.: pick 27 → redraft 6R.J. Hunter: pick 28 → redraft 39Chris McCullough: pick 29 → redraft 35Kevon Looney: pick 30 → redraft 12Cedi Osman: pick 31 → redraft 24Montrezl Harrell: pick 32 → redraft 5Jordan Mickey: pick 33 → redraft 36Anthony Brown: pick 34 → redraft 42Willy Hernangómez: pick 35 → redraft 21Rakeem Christmas: pick 36 → redraft 37Richaun Holmes: pick 37 → redraft 14Darrun Hilliard: pick 38 → redraft 40Juan Pablo Vaulet: pick 39 → redraft 46Josh Richardson: pick 40 → redraft 15Pat Connaughton: pick 41 → redraft 16Olivier Hanlan: pick 42 → redraft 47Joe Young: pick 43 → redraft 38Andrew Harrison: pick 44 → redraft 33Marcus Thornton: pick 45 → redraft 48Norman Powell: pick 46 → redraft 7Artūras Gudaitis: pick 47 → redraft 49Dakari Johnson: pick 48 → redraft 34Aaron White: pick 49 → redraft 50Marcus Eriksson: pick 50 → redraft 51Tyler Harvey: pick 51 → redraft 52Satnam Singh: pick 52 → redraft 53Sir'Dominic Pointer: pick 53 → redraft 54Dani Díez: pick 54 → redraft 55Cady Lalanne: pick 55 → redraft 56Branden Dawson: pick 56 → redraft 44Nikola Radičević: pick 57 → redraft 57J.P. Tokoto: pick 58 → redraft 58Dimitrios Agravanis: pick 59 → redraft 59Luka Mitrović: pick 60 → redraft 60

Each dot is a 2015 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Pre-draft rankings
Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank
51.8%
n=765
Age
Under 20
51.7%
n=300
Path to the draft
US college
53.2%
n=1,015
Length
+5 in. or more
51.1%
n=135
Position
Forward
51.2%
n=570

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 11", 239 lbs
Wingspan7' 4"
Age on draft night19.3
BornBedford, TX
ESPN pre-draft rank#11 overall (#3 PF)

Picked around him 2015 redraft

8Stanley Johnsonredraft #28
9Frank Kaminskyredraft #20
10Justise Winslowredraft #26
12Trey Lylesredraft #19
13Devin Bookerredraft #2
14Cameron Payneredraft #22

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.