Frank Kaminsky
C, Wisconsin · 2015 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #9 (CHO)
Why he went too high Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a risk: his profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #15 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#9).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.2 years old on draft night (born 1993-04-03).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Wisconsin.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 11" at 7' 1" tall (-2.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 413 games over 8 NBA seasons (~63% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 8 |
| Games | 413 |
| Minutes / game | 19.8 |
| Points / game | 8.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.8 |
| Assists / game | 1.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 15.9 |
| VORP | 3.7 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.2 |
The 2015 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2015 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 1", 231 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 11" |
| Age on draft night | 22.2 |
| Born | Lisle, IL |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #15 overall (#4 C) |
Picked around him 2015 redraft
| 6 | Willie Cauley-Stein | redraft #17 |
| 7 | Emmanuel Mudiay | redraft #41 |
| 8 | Stanley Johnson | redraft #28 |
| 10 | Justise Winslow | redraft #26 |
| 11 | Myles Turner | redraft #4 |
| 12 | Trey Lyles | redraft #19 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.