Montrezl Harrell
PF, Louisville · 2015 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #32 (HOU)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #17 overall (#4 at his position), but he lasted until pick #32: teams let him slide 15 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.4 years old on draft night (born 1994-01-26).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Louisville.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 4" at 6' 8" tall (+8.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 515 games over 8 NBA seasons (~79% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 8 |
| Games | 515 |
| Minutes / game | 20.5 |
| Points / game | 12.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 5.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 42.9 |
| VORP | 12.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 2.6 |
The 2015 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2015 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 8", 253 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 4" |
| Age on draft night | 21.4 |
| Born | Tarboro, NC |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #17 overall (#4 PF) |
Picked around him 2015 redraft
| 29 | Chris McCullough | redraft #35 |
| 30 | Kevon Looney | redraft #12 |
| 31 | Cedi Osman | redraft #24 |
| 33 | Jordan Mickey | redraft #36 |
| 34 | Anthony Brown | redraft #42 |
| 35 | Willy Hernangómez | redraft #21 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.