Jordan Mickey
PF, LSU · 2015 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #33 (BOS)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #45 (#12 at his position); he went #33, 12 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 64 games over 3 NBA seasons (~26% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
21.0 years old on draft night (born 1994-07-09).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at LSU.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 3" at 6' 8" tall (+7.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 64 |
| Minutes / game | 7.5 |
| Points / game | 2.4 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.0 |
| Assists / game | 0.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.5 |
| VORP | -0.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -4.8 |
The 2015 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2015 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 8", 238 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 3" |
| Age on draft night | 21.0 |
| Born | Arlington, TX |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #45 overall (#12 PF) |
Picked around him 2015 redraft
| 30 | Kevon Looney | redraft #12 |
| 31 | Cedi Osman | redraft #24 |
| 32 | Montrezl Harrell | redraft #5 |
| 34 | Anthony Brown | redraft #42 |
| 35 | Willy Hernangómez | redraft #21 |
| 36 | Rakeem Christmas | redraft #37 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.