Mitchell Robinson
C · 2018 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #36 (NYK)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #28 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#36). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.2 years old on draft night (born 1998-04-01).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 401 games over 9 NBA seasons (~54% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 9 |
| Games | 401 |
| Minutes / game | 23.4 |
| Points / game | 7.5 |
| Rebounds / game | 7.9 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 41.1 |
| VORP | 10.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 2.3 |
| 2026-27 so far | 2 GP, 4 PPG (ESPN) |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 215 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.2 |
| Born | 1998-04-01 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #28 overall (#3 C) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 33 | Jalen Brunson | redraft #3 |
| 34 | Devonte' Graham | redraft #25 |
| 35 | Melvin Frazier | redraft #56 |
| 37 | Gary Trent Jr. | redraft #21 |
| 38 | Khyri Thomas | redraft #44 |
| 39 | Isaac Bonga | redraft #39 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.