Devonte' Graham
PG, Kansas · 2018 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #34 (ATL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #44 (#11 at his position); he went #34, 10 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.3 years old on draft night (born 1995-02-22).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Kansas.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 336 games over 6 NBA seasons (~68% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 336 |
| Minutes / game | 24.9 |
| Points / game | 11.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.3 |
| Assists / game | 4.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 12.7 |
| VORP | 3.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.5 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 186 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 23.3 |
| Born | 1995-02-22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #44 overall (#11 PG) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 31 | Elie Okobo | redraft #43 |
| 32 | Jevon Carter | redraft #30 |
| 33 | Jalen Brunson | redraft #3 |
| 35 | Melvin Frazier | redraft #56 |
| 36 | Mitchell Robinson | redraft #7 |
| 37 | Gary Trent Jr. | redraft #21 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.