Miles Bridges
SF, Michigan State · 2018 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #12 (LAC)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #15 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#12).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.3 years old on draft night (born 1998-03-21).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Michigan State.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 9" at 6' 6" tall (+3.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 505 games over 8 NBA seasons (~77% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 8 |
| Games | 505 |
| Minutes / game | 30.9 |
| Points / game | 15.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 6.1 |
| Assists / game | 2.8 |
| Win Shares (career) | 28.0 |
| VORP | 8.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.1 |
| 2026-27 so far | 2 GP, 12 PPG (ESPN) |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 220 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 9" |
| Age on draft night | 20.3 |
| Born | 1998-03-21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #15 overall (#4 SF) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 9 | Kevin Knox | redraft #42 |
| 10 | Mikal Bridges | redraft #5 |
| 11 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | redraft #2 |
| 13 | Jerome Robinson | redraft #53 |
| 14 | Michael Porter Jr. | redraft #10 |
| 15 | Troy Brown Jr. | redraft #31 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.