Mason Plumlee
C, Duke · 2013 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #22 (BRK)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: length, availability. Details below.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 11" at 7' 0" tall (-1.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 880 games over 13 NBA seasons (~83% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #22 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#22). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.3 years old on draft night (born 1990-03-05).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Duke.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 13 |
| Games | 880 |
| Minutes / game | 21.6 |
| Points / game | 7.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 6.6 |
| Assists / game | 2.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 58.4 |
| VORP | 15.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 1.2 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 238 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 11" |
| Age on draft night | 23.3 |
| Born | Winona Lake, IN |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #22 overall (#6 C) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 19 | Sergey Karasev | redraft #38 |
| 20 | Tony Snell | redraft #18 |
| 21 | Gorgui Dieng | redraft #11 |
| 23 | Solomon Hill | redraft #24 |
| 24 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | redraft #9 |
| 25 | Reggie Bullock | redraft #15 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.