MarShon Brooks
SG, Providence · 2011 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #25 (BOS)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 200 games over 5 NBA seasons (~49% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #15 overall (#3 at his position), but he lasted until pick #25: teams let him slide 10 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.4 years old on draft night (born 1989-01-26).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Providence.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 1" at 6' 5" tall (+8.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 5 |
| Games | 200 |
| Minutes / game | 17.3 |
| Points / game | 8.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.1 |
| Assists / game | 1.4 |
| Win Shares (career) | 3.3 |
| VORP | 0.4 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.6 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 195 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 1" |
| Age on draft night | 22.4 |
| Born | Stone Mountain, GA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #15 overall (#3 SG) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 22 | Kenneth Faried | redraft #11 |
| 23 | Nikola Mirotić | redraft #19 |
| 24 | Reggie Jackson | redraft #13 |
| 26 | Jordan Hamilton | redraft #32 |
| 27 | JaJuan Johnson | redraft #45 |
| 28 | Norris Cole | redraft #35 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.