Mark Madsen

Stanford · 2000 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #29 (LAL)

Drafted#29LAL · 2000
Redraft rank#26of 58 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #29~#292000–2021 median
VerdictBeat his slot · +3spots vs. typical

Why he was overlooked Patterns

Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.

  • Pre-draft rankings

    No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.

  • Age

    24.4 years old on draft night (born 1976-01-28).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Path to the draft

    Played college basketball at Stanford.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 453 games over 9 NBA seasons (~61% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.

Career numbers

Seasons9
Games453
Minutes / game11.8
Points / game2.2
Rebounds / game2.6
Assists / game0.4
Win Shares (career)8.2
VORP-2.9
Box Plus/Minus-4.1

The 2000 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

11151530304545Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Kenyon Martin: pick 1 → redraft 5Stromile Swift: pick 2 → redraft 14Darius Miles: pick 3 → redraft 18Marcus Fizer: pick 4 → redraft 30Mike Miller: pick 5 → redraft 2DerMarr Johnson: pick 6 → redraft 27Chris Mihm: pick 7 → redraft 20Jamal Crawford: pick 8 → redraft 4Joel Przybilla: pick 9 → redraft 11Keyon Dooling: pick 10 → redraft 17Jérôme Moïso: pick 11 → redraft 31Etan Thomas: pick 12 → redraft 19Courtney Alexander: pick 13 → redraft 29Mateen Cleaves: pick 14 → redraft 48Jason Collier: pick 15 → redraft 32Hedo Türkoğlu: pick 16 → redraft 1Desmond Mason: pick 17 → redraft 16Quentin Richardson: pick 18 → redraft 7Jamaal Magloire: pick 19 → redraft 10Speedy Claxton: pick 20 → redraft 13Morris Peterson: pick 21 → redraft 6Donnell Harvey: pick 22 → redraft 28DeShawn Stevenson: pick 23 → redraft 21Dalibor Bagarić: pick 24 → redraft 49Jake Tsakalidis: pick 25 → redraft 25Mamadou N'Diaye: pick 26 → redraft 33Primož Brezec: pick 27 → redraft 24Erick Barkley: pick 28 → redraft 42Marko Jarić: pick 30 → redraft 15Dan Langhi: pick 31 → redraft 38A.J. Guyton: pick 32 → redraft 39Jake Voskuhl: pick 33 → redraft 22Khalid El-Amin: pick 34 → redraft 37Mike Smith: pick 35 → redraft 45Soumaila Samake: pick 36 → redraft 40Eddie House: pick 37 → redraft 8Eduardo Nájera: pick 38 → redraft 9Lavor Postell: pick 39 → redraft 46Hanno Möttölä: pick 40 → redraft 36Chris Carrawell: pick 41 → redraft 51Olumide Oyedeji: pick 42 → redraft 35Michael Redd: pick 43 → redraft 3Brian Cardinal: pick 44 → redraft 12Jabari Smith: pick 45 → redraft 34DeeAndre Hulett: pick 46 → redraft 52Josip Sesar: pick 47 → redraft 53Mark Karcher: pick 48 → redraft 54Jason Hart: pick 49 → redraft 23Kaniel Dickens: pick 50 → redraft 44Igor Rakočević: pick 51 → redraft 43Ernest Brown: pick 52 → redraft 47Dan McClintock: pick 53 → redraft 50Cory Hightower: pick 54 → redraft 55Chris Porter: pick 55 → redraft 41Jaquay Walls: pick 56 → redraft 56Scoonie Penn: pick 57 → redraft 57Pete Mickeal: pick 58 → redraft 58

Each dot is a 2000 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Age
23 or older		48.6%
n=138
Path to the draft
US college		53.2%
n=1,015

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Age on draft night24.4
Born1976-01-28

Picked around him 2000 redraft

26Mamadou N'Diayeredraft #33
27Primož Brezecredraft #24
28Erick Barkleyredraft #42
30Marko Jarićredraft #15
31Dan Langhiredraft #38
32A.J. Guytonredraft #39

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.