A.J. Guyton
Indiana · 2000 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #32 (CHI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 80 games over 3 NBA seasons (~33% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- Age
22.4 years old on draft night (born 1978-02-12).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Indiana.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 80 |
| Minutes / game | 15.6 |
| Points / game | 5.5 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.8 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.3 |
| VORP | -0.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.9 |
The 2000 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2000 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Age on draft night | 22.4 |
| Born | 1978-02-12 |
Picked around him 2000 redraft
| 29 | Mark Madsen | redraft #26 |
| 30 | Marko Jarić | redraft #15 |
| 31 | Dan Langhi | redraft #38 |
| 33 | Jake Voskuhl | redraft #22 |
| 34 | Khalid El-Amin | redraft #37 |
| 35 | Mike Smith | redraft #45 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.