Leonard Miller
SF · 2023 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #33 (SAS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
The 2023 class is only 3 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #23 overall (#5 at his position), but he lasted until pick #33: teams let him slide 10 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.6 years old on draft night (born 2003-11-26).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 82 games over 4 NBA seasons (~25% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 4 |
| Games | 82 |
| Minutes / game | 11.1 |
| Points / game | 5.6 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.8 |
| Assists / game | 0.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 2.2 |
| VORP | 0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.2 |
| 2026-27 so far | 3 GP, 10 PPG (ESPN) |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2023 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2023 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 211 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.6 |
| Born | 2003-11-26 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #23 overall (#5 SF) |
Picked around him 2023 redraft
| 30 | Kobe Brown | redraft #32 |
| 31 | James Nnaji | redraft #56 |
| 32 | Jalen Pickett | redraft #33 |
| 34 | Colby Jones | redraft #41 |
| 35 | Julian Phillips | redraft #28 |
| 36 | Andre Jackson Jr. | redraft #37 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.