James Nnaji
C · 2023 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #31 (DET)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
The 2023 class is only 3 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Availability
Never played an NBA game.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #24 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#31).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
18.9 years old on draft night (born 2004-08-14).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 0 |
| Games | 0 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2023 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2023 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 225 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 18.9 |
| Born | 2004-08-14 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #24 overall (#3 C) |
Picked around him 2023 redraft
| 28 | Brice Sensabaugh | redraft #35 |
| 29 | Julian Strawther | redraft #24 |
| 30 | Kobe Brown | redraft #32 |
| 32 | Jalen Pickett | redraft #33 |
| 33 | Leonard Miller | redraft #27 |
| 34 | Colby Jones | redraft #41 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.