Kedrick Brown
SF, Okaloosa-Walton Community College · 2001 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #11 (BOS)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 143 games over 4 NBA seasons (~44% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #5 (#10 at his position), close to where he went (#11).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.3 years old on draft night (born 1981-03-18).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Okaloosa-Walton Community College.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 4 |
| Games | 143 |
| Minutes / game | 13.5 |
| Points / game | 3.6 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.4 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 3.0 |
| VORP | 0.4 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.1 |
The 2001 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2001 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 225 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.3 |
| Born | 1981-03-18 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #5 overall (#10 SF) |
Picked around him 2001 redraft
| 8 | DeSagana Diop | redraft #25 |
| 9 | Rodney White | redraft #32 |
| 10 | Joe Johnson | redraft #3 |
| 12 | Vladimir Radmanović | redraft #15 |
| 13 | Richard Jefferson | redraft #6 |
| 14 | Troy Murphy | redraft #12 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.