Kasparas Jakučionis
G, Illinois · 2025 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #20 (MIA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
The 2025 class is only 1 season in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #10 overall (#7 at his position), but he lasted until pick #20: teams let him slide 10 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.1 years old on draft night (born 2006-05-29).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Illinois.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
G (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 59 games over 2 NBA seasons (~36% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 59 |
| Minutes / game | 18.2 |
| Points / game | 6.5 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.6 |
| Assists / game | 2.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 2.8 |
| VORP | 0.5 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.5 |
| 2026-27 so far | 3 GP, 11.3 PPG (ESPN) |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2025 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2025 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4.75", 205 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.1 |
| Born | 2006-05-29 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #10 overall (#7 G) |
Picked around him 2025 redraft
| 17 | Joan Beringer | redraft #14 |
| 18 | Walter Clayton | redraft #34 |
| 19 | Nolan Traoré | redraft #55 |
| 21 | Will Riley | redraft #33 |
| 22 | Drake Powell | redraft #47 |
| 23 | Asa Newell | redraft #21 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.