Joan Beringer
C · 2025 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #17 (MIN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
The 2025 class is only 1 season in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #15 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#17).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
18.6 years old on draft night (born 2006-11-11).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 45 games over 2 NBA seasons (~27% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 45 |
| Minutes / game | 8.1 |
| Points / game | 3.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.5 |
| Assists / game | 0.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 1.7 |
| VORP | 0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.3 |
| 2026-27 so far | 3 GP, 5 PPG (ESPN) |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2025 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2025 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 235 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 18.6 |
| Born | 2006-11-11 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #15 overall (#3 C) |
Picked around him 2025 redraft
| 14 | Carter Bryant | redraft #19 |
| 15 | Thomas Sorber | redraft #56 |
| 16 | Yang Hansen | redraft #51 |
| 18 | Walter Clayton | redraft #34 |
| 19 | Nolan Traoré | redraft #55 |
| 20 | Kasparas Jakučionis | redraft #9 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.