Jordan Adams
SG, UCLA · 2014 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #22 (MEM)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 32 games over 2 NBA seasons (~20% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #28 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#22).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.0 years old on draft night (born 1994-07-08).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at UCLA.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 10" at 6' 5" tall (+5.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 32 |
| Minutes / game | 8.2 |
| Points / game | 3.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.9 |
| Assists / game | 0.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.4 |
| VORP | 0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 1.7 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 209 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 10" |
| Age on draft night | 20.0 |
| Born | Lawrenceville, GA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #28 overall (#6 SG) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 19 | Gary Harris | redraft #16 |
| 20 | Bruno Caboclo | redraft #31 |
| 21 | Mitch McGary | redraft #34 |
| 23 | Rodney Hood | redraft #21 |
| 24 | Shabazz Napier | redraft #24 |
| 25 | Clint Capela | redraft #3 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.