Bruno Caboclo
SF · 2014 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #20 (TOR)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #65 (#16 at his position); he went #20, 45 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Osasco, Sao Paolo, Brazil.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 105 games over 7 NBA seasons (~18% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
18.8 years old on draft night (born 1995-09-21).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 7 |
| Games | 105 |
| Minutes / game | 12.3 |
| Points / game | 4.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.6 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 1.5 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.7 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 200 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 18.8 |
| Born | Osasco, Sao Paolo, Brazil |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #65 overall (#16 SF) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 17 | James Young | redraft #38 |
| 18 | Tyler Ennis | redraft #32 |
| 19 | Gary Harris | redraft #16 |
| 21 | Mitch McGary | redraft #34 |
| 22 | Jordan Adams | redraft #40 |
| 23 | Rodney Hood | redraft #21 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.