Joffrey Lauvergne

PF · 2013 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #55 (MEM)

Drafted#55MEM · 2013
Redraft rank#30of 60 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #55~#512000–2021 median
VerdictSteal · +21spots vs. typical

Why he was overlooked Patterns

Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #95 (#21 at his position); he went #55, 40 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Age

    21.7 years old on draft night (born 1991-09-30).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Path to the draft

    International prospect, born in Mulhouse, France.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    PF (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 208 games over 4 NBA seasons (~63% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.

Career numbers

Seasons4
Games208
Minutes / game13.6
Points / game5.6
Rebounds / game3.8
Assists / game0.9
Win Shares (career)5.2
VORP-0.1
Box Plus/Minus-2.1

The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

111515303045456060Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Anthony Bennett: pick 1 → redraft 39Victor Oladipo: pick 2 → redraft 10Otto Porter Jr.: pick 3 → redraft 8Cody Zeller: pick 4 → redraft 13Alex Len: pick 5 → redraft 17Nerlens Noel: pick 6 → redraft 12Ben McLemore: pick 7 → redraft 28Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: pick 8 → redraft 7Trey Burke: pick 9 → redraft 21CJ McCollum: pick 10 → redraft 3Michael Carter-Williams: pick 11 → redraft 25Steven Adams: pick 12 → redraft 4Kelly Olynyk: pick 13 → redraft 6Shabazz Muhammad: pick 14 → redraft 29Giannis Antetokounmpo: pick 15 → redraft 1Lucas Nogueira: pick 16 → redraft 26Dennis Schröder: pick 17 → redraft 14Shane Larkin: pick 18 → redraft 32Sergey Karasev: pick 19 → redraft 38Tony Snell: pick 20 → redraft 18Gorgui Dieng: pick 21 → redraft 11Mason Plumlee: pick 22 → redraft 5Solomon Hill: pick 23 → redraft 24Tim Hardaway Jr.: pick 24 → redraft 9Reggie Bullock: pick 25 → redraft 15Andre Roberson: pick 26 → redraft 20Rudy Gobert: pick 27 → redraft 2Livio Jean-Charles: pick 28 → redraft 52Archie Goodwin: pick 29 → redraft 36Nemanja Nedović: pick 30 → redraft 47Allen Crabbe: pick 31 → redraft 22Álex Abrines: pick 32 → redraft 31Carrick Felix: pick 33 → redraft 51Isaiah Canaan: pick 34 → redraft 33Glen Rice Jr.: pick 35 → redraft 46Ray McCallum: pick 36 → redraft 35Tony Mitchell: pick 37 → redraft 40Nate Wolters: pick 38 → redraft 37Jeff Withey: pick 39 → redraft 27Grant Jerrett: pick 40 → redraft 43Jamaal Franklin: pick 41 → redraft 49Pierre Jackson: pick 42 → redraft 50Ricky Ledo: pick 43 → redraft 48Mike Muscala: pick 44 → redraft 16Marko Todorović: pick 45 → redraft 53Erick Green: pick 46 → redraft 41Raul Neto: pick 47 → redraft 23Ryan Kelly: pick 48 → redraft 34Erik Murphy: pick 49 → redraft 42James Ennis III: pick 50 → redraft 19Romero Osby: pick 51 → redraft 54Lorenzo Brown: pick 52 → redraft 44Colton Iverson: pick 53 → redraft 55Arsalan Kazemi: pick 54 → redraft 56Peyton Siva: pick 56 → redraft 45Alex Oriakhi: pick 57 → redraft 57Deshaun Thomas: pick 58 → redraft 58Bojan Dubljević: pick 59 → redraft 59Jānis Timma: pick 60 → redraft 60

Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Pre-draft rankings
Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank
33.8%
n=272
Age
21
47.6%
n=286
Path to the draft
International
41.7%
n=151
Position
Forward
51.2%
n=570

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 10", 220 lbs
Age on draft night21.7
BornMulhouse, France
ESPN pre-draft rank#95 overall (#21 PF)

Picked around him 2013 redraft

52Lorenzo Brownredraft #44
53Colton Iversonredraft #55
54Arsalan Kazemiredraft #56
56Peyton Sivaredraft #45
57Alex Oriakhiredraft #57
58Deshaun Thomasredraft #58

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.