Gilbert Arenas
SG, Arizona · 2001 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #31 (GSW)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #2 overall (#15 at his position), but he lasted until pick #31: teams let him slide 29 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.5 years old on draft night (born 1982-01-06).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Arizona.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 552 games over 11 NBA seasons (~61% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 11 |
| Games | 552 |
| Minutes / game | 35.1 |
| Points / game | 20.7 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.9 |
| Assists / game | 5.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 51.3 |
| VORP | 22.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 2.6 |
The 2001 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2001 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 188 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.5 |
| Born | 1982-01-06 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #2 overall (#15 SG) |
Picked around him 2001 redraft
| 28 | Tony Parker | redraft #2 |
| 30 | Trenton Hassell | redraft #24 |
| 32 | Omar Cook | redraft #40 |
| 33 | Will Solomon | redraft #47 |
| 34 | Terence Morris | redraft #34 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.