DeAndre Jordan
C, Texas A&M · 2008 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #35 (LAC)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #9 overall (#2 at his position), but he lasted until pick #35: teams let him slide 26 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.5 years old on draft night (born 1988-01-01).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Texas A&M.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 1124 games over 19 NBA seasons (~72% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 19 |
| Games | 1124 |
| Minutes / game | 25.0 |
| Points / game | 8.5 |
| Rebounds / game | 9.7 |
| Assists / game | 0.9 |
| Win Shares (career) | 99.5 |
| VORP | 22.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 1.1 |
The 2008 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2008 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 250 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.5 |
| Born | Houston |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #9 overall (#2 C) |
Picked around him 2008 redraft
| 32 | Walter Sharpe | redraft #46 |
| 33 | Joey Dorsey | redraft #36 |
| 34 | Mario Chalmers | redraft #17 |
| 36 | Ömer Aşık | redraft #26 |
| 37 | Luc Mbah a Moute | redraft #21 |
| 38 | Kyle Weaver | redraft #37 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.