Dario Šarić

PF · 2014 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #12 (ORL)

Drafted#12ORL · 2014
Redraft rank#19of 60 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #12~#202000–2021 median
VerdictBeat his slot · +1spots vs. typical

Why he was overlooked Patterns

Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: length. Details below.

  • Length

    Wingspan 6' 11" at 6' 10" tall (+1.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #9 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#12).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Age

    20.2 years old on draft night (born 1994-04-08).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Path to the draft

    International prospect, born in Sibenik, Croatia.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    PF (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 498 games over 9 NBA seasons (~67% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.

Career numbers

Seasons9
Games498
Minutes / game22.3
Points / game10.3
Rebounds / game5.3
Assists / game1.9
Win Shares (career)20.8
VORP3.4
Box Plus/Minus-0.8

The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

111515303045456060Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Andrew Wiggins: pick 1 → redraft 13Jabari Parker: pick 2 → redraft 23Joel Embiid: pick 3 → redraft 2Aaron Gordon: pick 4 → redraft 5Danté Exum: pick 5 → redraft 27Marcus Smart: pick 6 → redraft 12Julius Randle: pick 7 → redraft 4Nik Stauskas: pick 8 → redraft 28Noah Vonleh: pick 9 → redraft 25Elfrid Payton: pick 10 → redraft 22Doug McDermott: pick 11 → redraft 20Zach LaVine: pick 13 → redraft 8T.J. Warren: pick 14 → redraft 18Adreian Payne: pick 15 → redraft 52Jusuf Nurkić: pick 16 → redraft 10James Young: pick 17 → redraft 38Tyler Ennis: pick 18 → redraft 32Gary Harris: pick 19 → redraft 16Bruno Caboclo: pick 20 → redraft 31Mitch McGary: pick 21 → redraft 34Jordan Adams: pick 22 → redraft 40Rodney Hood: pick 23 → redraft 21Shabazz Napier: pick 24 → redraft 24Clint Capela: pick 25 → redraft 3P.J. Hairston: pick 26 → redraft 36Bogdan Bogdanović: pick 27 → redraft 14C.J. Wilcox: pick 28 → redraft 44Josh Huestis: pick 29 → redraft 41Kyle Anderson: pick 30 → redraft 6Damien Inglis: pick 31 → redraft 49K.J. McDaniels: pick 32 → redraft 33Joe Harris: pick 33 → redraft 17Cleanthony Early: pick 34 → redraft 54Jarnell Stokes: pick 35 → redraft 39Johnny O'Bryant: pick 36 → redraft 42DeAndre Daniels: pick 37 → redraft 55Spencer Dinwiddie: pick 38 → redraft 11Jerami Grant: pick 39 → redraft 9Glenn Robinson III: pick 40 → redraft 26Nikola Jokić: pick 41 → redraft 1Nick Johnson: pick 42 → redraft 48Edy Tavares: pick 43 → redraft 43Markel Brown: pick 44 → redraft 35Dwight Powell: pick 45 → redraft 7Jordan Clarkson: pick 46 → redraft 15Russ Smith: pick 47 → redraft 50Lamar Patterson: pick 48 → redraft 46Cameron Bairstow: pick 49 → redraft 47Alec Brown: pick 50 → redraft 56Thanasis Antetokounmpo: pick 51 → redraft 29Vasilije Micić: pick 52 → redraft 53Alessandro Gentile: pick 53 → redraft 57Nemanja Dangubić: pick 54 → redraft 58Semaj Christon: pick 55 → redraft 45Devyn Marble: pick 56 → redraft 51Louis Labeyrie: pick 57 → redraft 59Jordan McRae: pick 58 → redraft 30Xavier Thames: pick 59 → redraft 60Cory Jefferson: pick 60 → redraft 37

Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Length
Under +2 in.
56.2%
n=73
Pre-draft rankings
Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank
51.8%
n=765
Age
20
50.4%
n=246
Path to the draft
International
41.7%
n=151
Position
Forward
51.2%
n=570

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 10", 223 lbs
Wingspan6' 11"
Age on draft night20.2
BornSibenik, Croatia
ESPN pre-draft rank#9 overall (#4 PF)

Picked around him 2014 redraft

9Noah Vonlehredraft #25
10Elfrid Paytonredraft #22
11Doug McDermottredraft #20
13Zach LaVineredraft #8
14T.J. Warrenredraft #18
15Adreian Payneredraft #52

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.