C.J. Miles
SG · 2005 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #34 (UTA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #37 (#7 at his position), close to where he went (#34). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
18.3 years old on draft night (born 1987-03-20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
No college; born in Dallas, TX.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 55.6% of the time (9 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 849 games over 16 NBA seasons (~65% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 16 |
| Games | 849 |
| Minutes / game | 20.4 |
| Points / game | 9.6 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.4 |
| Assists / game | 1.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 30.1 |
| VORP | 6.9 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.4 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft No college (HS / G League / other) | 55.6% n=9 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 207 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 18.3 |
| Born | Dallas, TX |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #37 overall (#7 SG) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 31 | Salim Stoudamire | redraft #41 |
| 32 | Daniel Ewing | redraft #43 |
| 33 | Brandon Bass | redraft #15 |
| 35 | Ricky Sánchez | redraft #57 |
| 36 | Ersan İlyasova | redraft #11 |
| 37 | Ronny Turiaf | redraft #22 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.