Bruce Brown
SG, Miami (FL) · 2018 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #42 (DET)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #29 overall (#8 at his position), but he lasted until pick #42: teams let him slide 13 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 539 games over 8 NBA seasons (~82% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
21.9 years old on draft night (born 1996-08-15).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Miami (FL).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 9" at 6' 5" tall (+4.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 8 |
| Games | 539 |
| Minutes / game | 24.8 |
| Points / game | 8.7 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.2 |
| Assists / game | 2.4 |
| Win Shares (career) | 22.9 |
| VORP | 1.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.6 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 195 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 9" |
| Age on draft night | 21.9 |
| Born | 1996-08-15 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #29 overall (#8 SG) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 39 | Isaac Bonga | redraft #39 |
| 40 | Rodions Kurucs | redraft #38 |
| 41 | Jarred Vanderbilt | redraft #19 |
| 43 | Justin Jackson | redraft #58 |
| 44 | Issuf Sanon | redraft #59 |
| 45 | Hamidou Diallo | redraft #33 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.