Bogdan Bogdanović

Why he was overlooked Patterns

Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.

• Pre-draft rankings

  ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #45 (#9 at his position); he went #27, 18 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.

  Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

• Age

  21.9 years old on draft night (born 1992-08-18).

  Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

• Path to the draft

  International prospect, born in Belgrade, Serbia.

  Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

• Length

  Wingspan 6' 11" at 6' 6" tall (+5.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.

  Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

• Position

  SG (ESPN draft listing).

  Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

• Availability

  Played 529 games over 10 NBA seasons (~65% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.

Career numbers

How players like him did

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft