A.J. Price
PG, UConn · 2009 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #52 (IND)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #36 overall (#13 at his position), but he lasted until pick #52: teams let him slide 16 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.7 years old on draft night (born 1986-10-07).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at UConn.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 261 games over 6 NBA seasons (~53% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 261 |
| Minutes / game | 15.1 |
| Points / game | 5.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.4 |
| Assists / game | 2.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 4.7 |
| VORP | 0.7 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.3 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 193 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.7 |
| Born | Amityville, N.Y. |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #36 overall (#13 PG) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 49 | Sergiy Gladyr | redraft #53 |
| 50 | Goran Suton | redraft #54 |
| 51 | Jack McClinton | redraft #55 |
| 53 | Nando De Colo | redraft #40 |
| 54 | Robert Vaden | redraft #56 |
| 55 | Patty Mills | redraft #15 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.