Zac Stacy
RB, Vanderbilt · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #160 (STL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #207 (#17 at his position); he went #160, 47 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Vanderbilt: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.55 40-yard dash at 216 lbs: faster than 45% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 35 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2015 (~73%). Last NFL season: 2015.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 35 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 11 |
| Rushing | 357 att, 1,355 yds, 9 TD |
| Receiving | 53 rec, 358 yds, 1 TD |
| Defense | 2 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 8", 216 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.55 s |
| Bench press | 27 reps |
| Vertical | 33" |
| Broad jump | 122" |
| 3-cone | 6.7 s |
| Shuttle | 4.17 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.2" / 8.5" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #207 overall (#17 RB) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 157 | Quinton Dial | redraft #93 |
| 158 | Luke Willson | redraft #110 |
| 159 | Micah Hyde | redraft #18 |
| 161 | Tavarres King | redraft #189 |
| 162 | Brandon Jenkins | redraft #214 |
| 163 | Jordan Mills | redraft #38 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.