Wali Lundy
RB, Virginia · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #170 (HOU)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 14 of ~16 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2006 (~88%). Last NFL season: 2006.
- Pre-draft rankings
No ESPN pre-draft ranking on file for him.
- School
Virginia: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.48 40-yard dash at 214 lbs: faster than 65% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 14 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 5 |
| Rushing | 124 att, 476 yds, 4 TD |
| Receiving | 33 rec, 204 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2006 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 214 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.48 s |
| Bench press | 18 reps |
| Vertical | 35" |
| Broad jump | 111" |
| 3-cone | 6.99 s |
| Shuttle | 4.36 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 167 | Charles Davis | redraft #234 |
| 168 | Omar Gaither | redraft #81 |
| 169 | Jesse Mahelona | redraft #189 |
| 171 | Mike Hass | redraft #220 |
| 172 | Jonathan Orr | redraft #235 |
| 173 | Reed Doughty | redraft #93 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.